Written by Noah Carl.
Yesterday, there was another big debate about interracial crime on the site formerly known as Twitter.
The debate began when user End Wokeness posted a chart showing “interracial violent incidents per capita of offending race” for different racial comparisons (black-on-white, white-on-black etc.). According to the chart, blacks commit violent crimes against whites at 42 times the rate that whites commit violent crimes against blacks. The post went viral, and even Elon Musk replied with an exclamation mark.
Self-proclaimed “data scientist” Kareem Carr then posted a thread purporting to debunk the chart. “I looked into this before,” he wrote. “This is a false narrative designed to promote racial grievance”. He proceeded to point out that the total number of black-on-white violent incidents is small compared to the total number of white-on-white violent incidents.
A commenter accused Carr of having misinterpreted the original chart: “The point is that interracial crime is skewed to black-on-white crime by a ridiculously high margin”. Carr responded that it's “not skewed” to a “ridiculously high margin”. And when pressed, he stated: “The cases of black-on-white and white-on-black crime are not symmetric. The null hypothesis isn’t that they would be the same.”
Carr is wrong here. But so is the original chart, and so are most of the people criticising Carr. The truth is that blacks do commit more violent crimes against whites than whites commit against blacks – but the ratio isn’t anywhere close to 42.
